ALGY SAYS...


Algy is short for 'algorithm'...and is an experimental model developed by myself for
determining possible areas of storm genesis. It is based on eight atmospheric variables at six different levels
in the atmosphere and is, by its experimental nature,
not to be used for anything other than as an alternative prognosis. I must stress that this is a 'work in
progress' and is only issued on certain days when in my opinion storms are possible.
Use at your own risk... 


LAST UPDATE: Sunday, 28 June 2009, 1.06 p.m. AEST
CONFIDENCE LEVELS:
TEST:  Less than 5% (hits do not count)
LOW:  Less than 10%
LOW/MODERATE: 10% to 20%
MODERATE: 20% to 30%
MODERATE/HIGH: 30% to 50%
HIGH: Greater than 50%
TODAY'S AREA OF INTEREST 1: (00Z) Monday 29 June 2009
BULLSEYE: Egypt MS   CONFIDENCE: LOW

* Map of Target Area 1 --------------------------------- Sounding for Target Area 1 *

* Streamline Forecast ---------------------------------- Nearest Radar *


COMMENTS: Sounding isn't great and shear is almost non-existant. Borderline again.

2009 ALGY STATS

TRIALS: 46   SEVERES:  5   STORMS:  25   MISSES:  16
STRIKE RATE:  65.2%

Counter Stats
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Sounding for WYCHEPROOF 06Z today...


Page designed by Kevin Phyland, Wycheproof, Vic. Australia. 2001-2009.

Page updated 28 June 2009


Information and soundings courtesy of READY, NOGAPS, and Weather Underground


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