ALGY HAS MOVED AS OF AUGUST 2009


Algy is short for 'algorithm'...and is an experimental model developed by myself for
determining possible areas of storm genesis. It is based on eight atmospheric variables at six different levels
in the atmosphere and is, by its experimental nature,
not to be used for anything other than as an alternative prognosis. I must stress that this is a 'work in
progress' and is only issued on certain days when in my opinion storms are possible.
Use at your own risk... 


LAST UPDATE: Thursday, 23 July 2009, 3.06 p.m. AEST
CONFIDENCE LEVELS:
TEST:  Less than 5% (hits do not count)
LOW:  Less than 10%
LOW/MODERATE: 10% to 20%
MODERATE: 20% to 30%
MODERATE/HIGH: 30% to 50%
HIGH: Greater than 50%
TODAY'S AREA OF INTEREST 1: (00Z) Friday 24 July 2009
BULLSEYE: Frankfort IN   CONFIDENCE: LOW

* Map of Target Area 1 --------------------------------- Sounding for Target Area 1 *

* Streamline Forecast ---------------------------------- Nearest Radar *


COMMENTS: A lot of moisture and heat at surface, but shear is very poor. Borderline.

2009 ALGY STATS

TRIALS: 52   SEVERES:  5   STORMS:  30   MISSES:  17
STRIKE RATE:  67.3%

Counter Stats
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Sounding for WYCHEPROOF 06Z today...


Page designed by Kevin Phyland, Wycheproof, Vic. Australia. 2001-2009.

Page updated 23 July 2009


Information and soundings courtesy of READY, NOGAPS, and Weather Underground


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